Aug 28, 2008 8:08 AM Posted by Jon_Keller |
AN IDEA-FREE WEEK - Because it is my job to do so, I have been listening to or reading the complete text of most of the major speeches so far from this week’s Democratic convention in Denver. Some, like Joe Biden’s compelling address last night and Hillary Clinton’s speech on Tuesday, have been very well delivered, others, less so. But every speech I’ve heard or read so far has one thing in common – they offer virtual baby talk on the major issues of the day. What is the right thing to do about soaring energy costs, in the short and long term? With the lone exception of Montana Gov. Brian Schweitzer, who alluded to something called coal gasification, I haven’t heard a specific fresh idea yet. What is the right way forward on affordable housing? All I’ve heard are vows to make sure every American can own a home to go with the chicken in their pot, even though we’ve just learned the painful lesson that not every American can afford to finance a home. How do we break the stranglehold of reform-averse unions over failing public schools? Apparently, there isn’t a major Democrat in the building willing to risk angering the union delegates by talking about charter schools and choice. It’s pathetic and sad. All we get are self-aggrandizing personal stories designed to show us what saints these power-seekers are, vague, insulting promises of the land of milk and honey that awaits a partisan victory, cheap trash-talking of the opposition. It’s hard to believe it could get even worse next week when the Republicans gather, but I bet it can. Listen, I’ve been around politics for a long time, I get it, too often, voters are scared away by new ideas and real challenge to the status quo. But the failure of an entire generation of political leaders to risk it is one depressing sight. Go to it, Senator Obama, make me see the light tonight. I’d settle for even a legitimate 50 watt bulb.
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PERFORMER OR REFORMER? - Speaking of charter schools, did you know there is a prominent Democrat on hand in Denver who is a strong supporter of them, the ire of reform-hating unions notwithstanding? Read this piece, and wonder - will tonight be the night the Democratic nominee makes an impression not by feeding more feel-good boob bait to his legions of liberal Bubbas, but by doing what he promised to do way back when the campaign started: tell people not what they want to hear, but what they need to hear?
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ROME IN DENVER - A couple of you have e-mailed me noting that Republicans have in the past also used preposterously monumental backdrops for speeches, similar to the Pantheon-like monstrosity the Obama campaign has erected for tonight's big speech. Of course they have. Neither Obama nor the Democrats have a monopoly on tasteless egomania. One would think that to be self-evident, but apparently not. |
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Aug 27, 2008 4:10 PM Posted by Jon_Keller
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AT THE TROUGH - Read this story about the apparent harrassment of a TV reporter trying to cover the access big-money donors buy from US senators, and then tell me again how much holier the Democrats are than the Republicans. | |
Aug 27, 2008 1:10 PM Posted by Jon_Keller
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WHAT SHE DIDN'T SAY - A final word on Hillary Clinton's speech of last night comes from John Dickerson of Slate, who shares my view that she delivered a strong endorsement, but notes:"Clinton never made the case that Barack Obama was ready to lead as commander in chief. That was her strongest argument against Obama during the primary—so strong the McCain campaign is recycling her ad about the president answering the phone at 3 a.m. Maybe Joe Biden is planning to address that issue for Obama, and Clinton needed to stay focused on convincing her supporters. Still, it felt like a hole." Yes. A big one. (Maybe it can't be refuted?)
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THE MORNING AFTER - It's a good news/bad news/somewhere-in-between news morning for Gov. Deval Patrick. The good news: his speech last night at the DNC, while familiar to us locals as a rehash of his 2006 stump speech, went well, crisply delivered and brief. The bad news: most of the national TV coverage ignored it. The middling news: our latest Survey USA Fast Track on the gov's job approval rating in Massachusetts shows a significant recovery from the depths of late spring. Patrick still suffers from poor ratings, with disapproving voters outnumbering fans, but the recent flurry of favorable publicity he got from finally showing some spine on spending and reform issues appears to have helped him, especially among independents. Women, too, are feeling better about Patrick these days - a waning of hurt feelings over the Clinton/Obama race, perhaps?
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ET TU, BARACK? - Roman columns on the stage behind Obama for tomorrow night's big speech? Ugh, say it isn't so. Someone's ego is out of control, let's hope it's not the nominee's. Still, it's in keeping with the unexpressed theme of both party conventions - the fantasy world they spin out for our benefit while our real problems go virtually unaddressed. Here is a smart take on it from columnist Robert Samuelson via Real Clear Politics. | | Aug 27, 2008 12:22 AM Posted by Jon_Keller |
HILLARY DELIVERS - You had to be a real diehard Clinton-hater or arch-conservative idealogue to be unimpressed by Hillary Clinton’s endorsement of Barack Obama last night. (Watch it here.) Not only was it well-written and every bit as emphatic about the need for her people to back Obama as he could have wanted, it was passionately-delivered, a welcome contrast with some of the stiff who’ve paraded across the podium the first two nights, like former Virginia Gov. Mark Warner, who seemed to be auditioning for the role of Lurch in a future remake of the "Addams Family." Yes, Hillary delivered the partisan bacon last night, right off the bat when she said she hadn’t "spent the past 35 years in the trenches advocating for children, campaigning for universal health care, helping parents balance work and family and fighting for women's rights here at home and around the world...to see another Republican in the White House squander our promise." That was a good line, linking her partisan pitch with issues that matter to people outside the convention hall. Clinton now has plausible deniability – if Obama can’t get it done, she cannot be blamed, and thus shunned by half the party next time around. But the Obama campaign still has its work cut out for it. In her speech, Hillary promised that Obama would "revitalize our economy, defend the working people of America, and meet the global challenges of our time. Democrats know how to do this," she said, referencing, of course, the Clinton years in office. But as we now know, that administration did NOT know how to meet the global terror challenge. And if Obama does know how to revitalize our economy, he has yet to explain it convincingly to a majority of voters. So buckle your seat belt. It’s gonna be a close, grueling race to November 4th. |
Aug 26, 2008 5:53 PM Posted by Jon_Keller |
A NEGATIVE BOUNCE? - Yikes, that's what Gallup reports Obama got from picking Joe Biden as his running mate, a two-point drop in the polling (within the margin of error) that gives McCain the lead. John Kerry got a four-point boost from picking John "Situational Ethics" Edwards in 2004; Al Gore got a five-point jump out of picking Joe Lieberman in 2000. Joe Lieberman, for gosh sakes! Moral of the story: for the Obama campaign, it's all about the man at the top of the ticket and the public's willingness to trust him.
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DENNIS DOES DENVER - In his remarks prepared for delivery this evening, Ohio Congressman and perennial far-left presidential candidate Dennis Kucinich delivers a clinic on how to excoriate the Republicans that his wimpier colleagues might well take notes on. (Read the whole thing here later on this evening.) "Wake up, America," pleads Kucinich. "In 2001, the oil companies, the war contractors and the neo-con artists seized the economy and have added 4 trillion dollars of unproductive spending to the national debt. We now pay four times more for defense, three times more for gasoline and home heating oil and twice what we paid for health care. Millions of Americans have lost their jobs, their homes, their health care, their pensions.... Borrowed money to bomb bridges in Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan. No money to rebuild bridges in America. Money to start a hot war with Iran. Now we have another cold war with Russia, while the American economy has become a game of Russian roulette. If there was an Olympics for misleading, mismanaging and misappropriating, this administration would take the gold. World records for violations of national and international laws. They want another four-year term to continue to alienate our allies, spend our children’s inheritance and hollow out our economy." Agree or not, you've got to admit, that's some scathing indictment. |
Aug 26, 2008 10:23 AM Posted by Jon_Keller
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MONDAY NIGHT PABLUM - As regular visitors here know, I don't have much use for the egomaniacal fulminations of the angry left (or the angry right, for that matter). But I do agree with this analysis of last night's DNC remake of "The Brady Bunch" by lefty journalist David Corn in Mother Jones magazine. Corn suffered through the corny testimonials to the nominee and his wife and wondered if "the Obama campaign, while effectively defining Michelle and Barack as American and loving as anyone, had squandered an opening-night opportunity to define the election as a chance to say no to Bush and to another pro-war Republican with sordid lobbyist ties and few fresh ideas about changing the nation's economic course." I'd say, yes. Hey Democrats - very few of the voters who currently believe the satirical New Yorker cover cartoon depicting the Obamas as radical Muslims bent on undermining America from within are available to you in November. They're lost. The real undecideds are likely to watch feel-good stuff like last night, nod, and say to themselves "they seem very nice. What is he going to do to help my economic well-being and security?"
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TOWER OF BABEL - Tonight may not be much better. The official theme is "Renewing America's Library Card"...oops, I mean "America's Promise." This vague-but-noble sentiment will be expressed through a parade not unlike the boarding ramp on Noah's Ark. Sioux speaker? Check. Blind speaker? Check. Latino, African-American, and feminist speakers galore? Covered. Then there will be the prime-time addresses by Gov. Deval Patrick, our very own local proof that political failure is color-blind, and the night's big moment, Sen. Hillary Clinton, representing - what? The Clinton "dynasty"? Scorned Democratic women? Party unity? My guess: undecided voters who watch will nod and say to themselves: "How is all this going to help my economic well-being and security?"
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DOUBLE SPEAK - Here is an interesting analysis of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's remarks last night by our sister station in Denver. More interesting, I'd say, then Pelosi's actual speech, a soporific outing which, luckily for the party, was seen by almost no one on TV and, it appeared, by few in the hall. "I am very proud of the Democrats in Congress," said Pelosi. Oh, you're the one! Has she noticed that public esteem for Congress is even lower than for Pres. Bush, a formidable achievement? "The American people gave Democrats their confidence, and we have started to reclaim the American dream for all Americans," she said, in an intellectually-vacant but bold attempt to set a new world record for mentions of America in a single sentence.
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| Aug 25, 2008 10:38 PM Posted by Jon_Keller |
PROFILES IN COURAGE - A viewer from Shrewsbury writes: "Senator Kerry described Ted Kennedy’s speech as 'brilliant' tonight? Not so much. Was he watching the same speech we were? Senator Kennedy has always been a forceful and effective orator, but risking what may seem to be political heresy, I think he should not have done the speech - certainly not this speech and in this way. The speech itself was disjointed, and Kennedy's telepromptered delivery was less than inspiring. All in all, it was disappointing and a bit sad." I respectfully disagree. Ask yourself: if you were undergoing grueling chemo and radiation for a cancer you knew was likely to be fatal, vulnerable to infection, and most likely utterly exhausted, would you fly across the country into a huge crowd scene to help out a co-worker you've only known for a couple of years? Not me. I may not agree with Ted Kennedy about some things, and I've had my share of criticism of him over the years, but that was an impressive showing of grit and style by a man who's shown those same qualities on more than a few difficult occasions. My hat is off to him. What on earth are we going to do without him? |
Aug 25, 2008 9:03 PM Posted by Jon_Keller
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SOUL VACCINATION - Hey, this is fun, watching the convention on TV! I just saw a sight that no amount of twisted humor could conceive of - presumptive vice-presidential nominee Joe Biden and Democratic National Committee chairman Howard Dean, chatting up a storm while the band plays James Brown's "(We're Gonna Have A) Funky Good Time." Unreal! | | Aug 25, 2008 6:28 PM Posted by Jon_Keller |
OBAMA'S IMAGE PROBLEM - It shouldn't be too surprising that Barack Obama is struggling to secure the confidence of swing voters across the country. It's hard for us junkies to remember that for many voters, he is still a relatively unknown commodity, from a party that's been viewed with suspicion on issues like defense and taxes in the past. But here in Massachusetts, the bluest state of all, a place where even the household pets know all about Obama, the latest numbers from Survey USA are somewhat shocking. Lowlights for Obama: a dead heat with McCain on the question of who can do a better job handling the economy; deficits to McCain on handling terrorism (21%) Iraq (11%!) and immigration (2%); and a favorability rating about the same as McCain's. Obama wins big on handling health care, but these are truly troubling votes of little confidence. (By the way, the survey was taken before the selection of Joe Biden to be Obama's running mate.)
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MORE JACKSON JIVE - This time, it's Congressman Jesse Jackson Jr. (D-Illinois), telling a panel discussion in Denver covered by the Denver Post that while "Barack Obama has the capacity to hit...he is in the situation where he can't hit back, which Jackie Robinson could not do. He had to be able to run the bases, even though the crowd was jeering the first African American on the field. He has to keep smiling, because no one wants an angry African American in the White House." Ugh, false. Many voters did not care for Rev. Jeremiah Wright's call for God to "damn America," that's true. And of course, there are racists among us. But the notion that Obama can't passionately, even angrily, stand up and fight for what he believes in is nonsense. In fact, Obama's rise has been fueled by his oratorical passion in criticizing our moribund political culture, hammering the judgements that put us in Iraq, excoriating irresponsible social behavior, etc. McCain has hurt Obama with ads that make it seem as if all that passion is self-adulatory, about creating a cult of celebrity rather than a better America. Thursday night is his chance to set the record straight. The notion that he cannot do so emphatically without turning off racist whites is ludicrous. |
Aug 24, 2008 11:21 AM Posted by Jon_Keller
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TED'S MISSION - Tonight, it appears, Barack Obama will discover (if he hasn't already) what everyone in Massachusetts already knows; when you really need him to do something for you, Ted Kennedy will be there, even if he has to drag himself off his sick bed. Forget Nancy Pelosi and Michelle Obama, this is tonight's main event. And the emotional impact of what could be (God, say it isn't so) Ted's last speech to the nation aside, Kennedy can really help Obama get back on track by explaining how the nominee shares his own relentless focus on bread-and-butter issues that actually matter to working-class voters: health care, job creation, wage equity, and so on. Obama needs more Kennedy and less Pelosi in his image. (By the way, according to the convention schedule, the planned video tribute to Ted is set to occur before the major network TV coverage kicks in at 10pm eastern time. Think maybe they'll find a way to shuffle the deck and get Ted on in the network hours?
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DEVAL'S PLEA - Gov. Deval Patrick has begun what I'm sure is a busy convention-week speaking schedule, and the alert gang at politickerMA picked up on this video of Patrick addressing the Stonewall Democrats, a network of gay and lesbian party activists. In the brief clip, Patrick issues what to my ears is a call to gay voters to set aside their chagrin at Obama for not supporting gay marriage and support him anyway. (Emphatically delivered, too. If only he could muster similar passion for actually reducing state-government payrolls instead of inflating them.) This is a microcosm of the ever-tricky political task Obama faces this week and for the balance of the campaign - keeping the Democratic base united behind him as he reaches out for a swing vote that is considerably more conservative than that partisan core. Failure to keep all those plates spinning at once without breaking any opens the door for McCain.
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WINNING THE WEST - Why are the Democrats in Denver in the first place? Because it is a crucial swing state and seen as a bellwether for the Mountain West, a crucial region on the electoral map. And it appears that Obama and company need to impress the hell out of Coloradans this week. A new poll shows the presidential race there in a dead heat, with the trends favoring McCain. Among its findings: McCain's negative ads have succeeded in raising Obama's negatives; McCain "has done a reasonably good job of convincing a lot of people that he's not joined at the hip with George Bush," a major theme of the McCain-bashing we'll be seeing this week; it's a virtual tie on the central question of who can better handle the economy; and very few voters (16%) still say they have an open mind on whom to vote for.
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THE POLITICS OF WOOF - From a wire service list of fun facts to know and tell about Obama ( via the Lowell Sun): "He has promised his daughters, Malia, 10, and Sasha, 7, a dog this fall -- win or lose." Wow, now the nominee is entering truly controversial territory. First of all, why don't those girls already have a dog? What kind of parents ARE these? And if their long nightmare of canine deprivation is about to end, what breed will the Obamas choose? Pick a lab and you leave collie fans rolling their eyes; go for a golden retriever and poodle worshippers start muttering about the dumbing-down of America. Has there ever been a Jack Russell in the White House? Don't give us this business about making the call after the election, senator - America demands to know your doggie preference, right now!
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SUNDAY AUG. 24:
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FEAR AND LOATHING IN DENVER - It's on! Showtime in Denver, as the Democrats launch their longshot bid to compete with the Republican National Convention for the title of biggest kook magnet. Today's main event was a protest rally by recreate68, a group that wants to "recreate the spirit of mass political participation of the 60s" in order to "end the illegal occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan; to use the money being wasted there to meet the needs of the American people; to provide health care for everyone; to restore civil liberties; to create a humane immigration policy; to replace the tragedy of “free trade” with fair trade; to combat global warming; and to transform a corrupt, corporate-dominated political system into real democracy." Only a few got arrested for blocking traffic; c'mon gang, you gotta do better than that to bring the system to its knees! Then again, if they can only get boomer delegates and media who think they're reliving the Kennedy era of the 1960's through Obamamania to grok on their slogan - "Recreate 68! Back to the Future!" - then maybe, just maybe, the scales will fall from their eyes and Ralph Nader will be nominated by acclamation! (Nader/Biden? I smell trouble.) Wouldn't that be a groovy thing to have happen?
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TOO MUCH BOTOX - Did you know that, as the Denver Post reports, hip-hop big-wig Russell Simmons, who ran the new voter "hip-hop summit" at the Boston convention four years ago that helped put President Kerry over the top, won't be on hand this week to lend gravitas to the proceedings in Denver? "I didn't really feel they needed any more celebrities," Simmons told the Post. "They have plenty. I didn't know if it would be helpful." Sure enough, the convention-week perp walk will reportedly include Ben Affleck will be at the convention, Oprah Winfrey (watch for the cutaways of her at Obama's speech on Thursday, if she's able to score a good seat), Josh Brolin (?, Annette Bening, Susan Sarandon, and Spike Lee (although why Obama would allow himself to be cheered on by a Kincks fan is beyond me. The Post breaks the good news: "Sean Penn will be around." The bad news: "at a rally organized by Ralph Nader." Or maybe, for Obama, that's good news.
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AND A WAVE OF RELIEF SWEPT THE NATION - Denver Post headline of the day: DELEGATES' ARRIVALS GO SMOOTHLY | |
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BUCKLE YOUR SEAT BELT - Welcome, fellow TV and internet convention voyeurs! I will be following the fun over the coming days just like you, through the web and the video out of Denver, blogging up a storm about what I'm seeing with links to stories and analysis - both local and national - that I think you'll find interesting. I cordially invite you to touch base here several times during the day and evening for updates and instant analysis. And unlike most of the coverage coming out of the Rockies, you'll be able to immediately engage me in conversation about what you're seeing. As the late, great Marvin Gaye put it: let's get it on.
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ATTACKING THE MESSENGER - Over at his must-read Media Nation blog, the estimable Dan Kennedy is eviscerating Ron Fournier of the Associated Press for this analysis of the Biden pick. (Read Kennedy's posts here and here.) And I can't for the life of me figure out why. Apparently, it's egregiously lazy for Fournier to write that Obama was "worried that he couldn't beat Republican John McCain without help from a seasoned politician willing to attack," for my money, a patently true observation. And Fournier's observation that the selection of Biden was "the next logistical step in an Obama campaign that has become more negative — a strategic decision that may be necessary but threatens to run counter to his image" is taken as evidence of the scribe being "in the tank" with McCain. Really? What about the most interesting part of the Fournier column, his reporting that a "senior Obama adviser, speaking on condition of anonymity, said his boss has expressed impatience with what he calls a 'reverence' inside his campaign for his message of change and new politics," something I have also heard from my own sources? Given polling trends like these, this all strikes me as sensible strategic management by Obama; in other words, the Fournier column is good news for Obama fans, not a diss from the enemy camp.
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INSIDE BASEBALL? - Why on earth did the Obama campaign wait until 3 a.m. Saturday morning to release their much-hyped e-mail disclosing the Biden pick? I thought it might have been a result of incompetence, but Andrew Sullivan explains otherwise: it was a sly, insider reference to the infamous ad Hillary Clinton bloodied Obama with during the primaries showing a phone ringing at 3 a.m. with news of some international crisis that you wouldn't want a wet-behind-the-ears Obama handling when you could have the latter-day female Winston Churchill take it. Is that legit? If so, it's silly that the Obama brain trust would rather make cute inside jokes than get maximum bounce out of their gimmick. And it's borderline disturbing that they would compare the serious but political judgement of choosing a running mate with the weighty burden of handling, say, a nuclear crisis.
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WHO NEEDS ENEMIES... When you've got friends like Madonna, who launched her "Sticky and Sweet" tour (ick) with a video of "images of destruction, global warming, Nazi dictator Adolf Hitler, Zimbabwe's authoritarian President Robert Mugabe -- and U.S. Senator John McCain. Another sequence, shown later, pictured slain Beatle John Lennon, followed by climate activist Al Gore, Mahatma Gandhi and finally McCain's Democratic rival Barack Obama." Super, just what Obama doesn't need, more angry-left (or, in this case, clueless foreign-resident celebrity) agitprop that provides fuel for more McCain attack ads lumping poor Obama in with brainless celebs. Mama, don't preach! | | | |