Dec 16, 2007 8:26 am US/Eastern
Countdown Begins For Patriots/Jets Game At Foxboro
FOXBORO (Sports Network) ―
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A published report says Eric Mangini and the Jets were caught illegally videotaping the New England Patriots during a game last season.
Nick Laham/Getty Images
The well-documented frosty relationship between head
coaches Bill Belichick and Eric Mangini will once again take center stage this
Sunday, when the New England Patriots put their unblemished record on the line
against the visiting New York Jets in the first meeting between the AFC East
rivals since the infamous "Spygate" incident in Week 1.
The two sideline generals have quite a history together, as Mangini broke into
the NFL ranks as a bottom-rung assistant on Belichick's staff when the latter
was head coach of the Cleveland Browns in 1995. Belichick also brought his
protege along when he became an assistant with the Jets two years later, and
Mangini also worked under him for six seasons with New England before taking
over the Jets prior to the 2006 campaign.
The friendship between the pair, which was tested when Mangini took over a
division rival, became further strained after Mangini's upstart Jets defeated
Belichick's Pats at Gillette Stadium in Week 10 of last season. The tension
grew greater in the aftermath of New England's 38-14 victory over New York in
this year's season opener.
Following the loss, the Jets filed a complaint to the NFL office accusing the
Patriots of illegally videotaping New York's defensive signals during the
course of the game. After an ensuing investigation by the league, NFL
commissioner Roger Goodell announced that New England would be forced to
forfeit its first-round selection in the 2008 draft and levied a $500,000 fine
on Belichick.
The incident tarnished the reputation of both coaches, with Belichick viewed
by many as a cheater who compiled his glossy credentials by using dirty
tactics, and Mangini as a whistle-blower who broke an unspoken code among the
coaching circles.
Another chapter of the story was revealed this week, when news broke that the
Jets had used a second video camera in one of the end zones during one of the
team's two games in Foxborough last year. The Jets claimed that they had
received prior permission from the Patriots to record the game, and the NFL
stated on Wednesday that such a practice is neither illegal or uncommon.
The scandal certainly hasn't hurt New England, which is seeking to join the
legendary 1972 Miami Dolphins as the only other team since the NFL/AFL merger
to go undefeated through an entire season. The Patriots moved a step closer to
that lofty goal last Sunday, running its record to 13-0 with a 34-13 beating
of the AFC North-leading Pittsburgh Steelers.
Quarterback Tom Brady led the way with four touchdown passes, giving the
leading MVP candidate an impressive 45 on the season. Brady is now just four
scoring tosses short of tying Peyton Manning's NFL single-season record in
that category.
The Jets haven't achieved nearly the same success in 2007, nor have they been
able to build off the 10 wins in Mangini's debut season that landed New York
in last year's playoffs. The team had posted two victories in a three-game
stretch heading into last week's battle with postseason-hopeful Cleveland, but
wound up on the short end of a 24-18 decision to the Browns.
SERIES HISTORY
The Jets hold a 48-45-1 edge in the all-time regular season series with the
Patriots, but as mentioned, were 38-14 home losers against New England in Week
1. Last season, New York broke a seven-game losing skid to its longtime AFC
East rival with a 17-14 road victory in Week 10. New England is 10-2 in its
last 12 regular season games against the Jets, with the losses over that
stretch coming at home in 2002 and 2006.
The Patriots and Jets have also met twice once in the postseason, including a
26-14 road victory for New England in a 1985 AFC First-Round Playoff and last
season's 37-16 triumph in an opening-round tilt.
Belichick has a career mark of 12-6 against the Jets, for whom he served as
defensive coordinator from 1997 through 1999, including 11-5 while with New
England. Mangini is 1-3 against both his former mentor Belichick and his ex-
employer New England.
WHEN THE JETS HAVE THE BALL
Look for New York to attempt to keep the Patriots' prolific offense off the
field by attacking them via the running game, something New England's
opponents have had success doing in recent weeks. Running back Thomas Jones
(944 rushing yards, 1 TD, 22 receptions) is fresh off a 106-yard effort
against Cleveland and should get plenty of work on Sunday. Dangerous return
man Leon Washington (224 rushing yards, 3 TD, 28 receptions) provides a good
change of pace and is the team's best backfield receiver. The Jets come in
ranked 19th in the NFL in rushing offense (103.4 ypg).
The Jets have gone 2-3 in the five games since youngster Kellen Clemens (1414
passing yards, 4 TD, 9 INT) supplanted Chad Pennington as the team's starting
quarterback, but the second-year pro has endured his share of struggles under
center. Clemens is completing just 52 percent of his passes and threw two
interceptions in the Cleveland loss, including one in the end zone that killed
a potential scoring drive. He did throw for a career-best 286 yards in the
game and benefited from the return of Jerricho Cotchery (60 receptions, 1 TD)
from a one-game absence due to a broken finger, as the sure-handed receiver
compiled 119 yards on six catches. Steady veteran Laveranues Coles (55
receptions, 6 TD) had seven grabs for 48 yards last week despite playing on a
sprained ankle which could limit his effectiveness on Sunday. Clemens was
taken down four times by the Browns' pass rush and needs better protection
from a line that's surrendered 39 sacks on the year.
New England owns the league's fourth-best defense in terms of yards allowed
(294.0 ypg) and points allowed (17.1 ypg), but the unit has been
uncharacteristically submissive against the run lately. Pittsburgh racked up
181 yards against the Patriots last Sunday, one week after New England yielded
166 yards on the ground in a narrow win over Baltimore. The shifting of
linebacker Adalius Thomas (60 tackles, 4 sacks, 1 INT) from the inside to the
edge in the wake of Rosevelt Colvin's season-ending foot injury might be one
explanation for the team's recent subpar showings, as could five-time Pro Bowl
end Richard Seymour's (16 tackles) slow comeback from a knee sprain which
caused him to miss the season's first half. Fourteen-year pro Rodney Harrison
(55 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT), who had 11 tackles last week, still remains a
run-stopping force from his strong safety position.
Throwing the football on the Patriots has been a greater challenge for the
opposition. New England is allowing just 194.4 yards per game through the air
(6th overall) and has amassed 34 sacks along with 17 interceptions. Mike
Vrabel (65 tackles, 9.5 sacks) has been one of the league's best pass-rushing
linebackers this year and had 2 1/2 sacks in the Week 1 meeting with New York,
while the versatile Thomas can get to the quarterback as well. The secondary
is headlined by playmaking corner Asante Samuel (32 tackles, 6 INT, 16 PD),
who's picked off 16 passes over the last two seasons.
WHEN THE PATRIOTS HAVE THE BALL
While their defense has had some recent issues, no team has yet been able to
stop Brady (4095 passing yards, 45 TD, 5 INT) and the Patriots' powerful
offense in 2007. New England tops the NFL in total yards (425.0 ypg), passing
yards (311.3 ypg) and scoring (38.7 ppg), and needs just 54 points over the
final three regular-season games to surpass the 1998 Minnesota Vikings' league
record of 556. Brady shredded Pittsburgh's top-ranked pass defense for 399
yards, with both superstar wideout Randy Moss (82 receptions, 1264 yards) and
Jabar Gaffney (29 receptions, 4 TD) totaling over 100 receiving yards in the
win. Moss also caught two of Brady's two touchdown throws and now has 19
receiving scores on the season, three shy of Jerry Rice's league mark. Wes
Welker (93 receptions, 8 TD) has also done plenty of damage from out of the
slot, while wideout Donte Stallworth (41 receptions, 3 TD) and tight end
Benjamin Watson (32 receptions, 6 TD) give Brady two more excellent targets.
Brady's also had outstanding protection from a front line that's given up only
16 sacks in 13 games.
New England's running game has been far less consistent, as the team mustered
just 22 yards on the ground on nine attempts against the Steelers. Leading
rusher Laurence Maroney (529 rushing yards, 2 TD) has averaged just three
yards per carry over the last four weeks, while backfield mate Kevin Faulk
(218 rushing yards, 35 receptions, 1 TD) is better as a receiver than a
runner. In short-yardage situations, the Pats often turn to powerful fullback
Heath Evans (117 rushing yards, 3 TD).
The Patriots' slumping ground attack could be rejuvenated when it faces a New
York defense that's permitting a porous 141.9 rushing yards per outing (30th
overall) and allowed Cleveland's Jamal Lewis to put up 118 yards on 21 totes
last week. The front seven does have an emerging star in rookie linebacker
David Harris (100 tackles, 3 sacks) and an active end up front in Kenyon
Coleman (70 tackles, 2 sacks), who compiled 12 tackles in the earlier meeting
with New England. The Jets do have one concern on the line, as nose tackle
Dewayne Robertson (44 tackles, 4 sacks) is dealing with a sore knee which
limited his snaps in the Cleveland game.
New York also boasts a talented rookie in the secondary in cornerback Darrelle
Revis (75 tackles, 2 INT, 14 PD), as well as a top-flight free safety in Kerry
Rhodes (59 tackles, 5 INT), who's recorded an interception in four straight
games. The duo has led the Jets to a respectable No. 11 ranking against the
pass (194.4 ypg), although Brady had a field day against the defensive
backfield back in Week 1. New York will need to get pressure from Robertson
and veteran end Shaun Ellis (44 tackles, 4 sacks) to slow down the Patriots on
Sunday. But since the defense has only produced 22 sacks this year, that's a
task easier said than done.
FANTASY FOCUS
Brady and Moss have been two of the top five fantasy performers this season
and are obvious must-plays for teams hoping to survive their playoff games.
Both had big games against the Jets in the opener, with Moss racking up 183
yards and a touchdown on nine catches and Brady throwing for 297 yards and
three scores. Welker is also an every-week play at receiver, while Gaffney has
emerged as a key component in the offense lately and is worth a look as well.
Maroney seems to be a riskier alternative at running back, as he's gotten
limited touches lately and often isn't used in goal-line situations. The New
England defense ranks among the top fantasy units as well and draws a
favorable matchup, with the Jets possessing a young quarterback and mediocre
offensive line.
On the New York side, use Jones if you've got him. He's rebounded nicely from
a slow start and will be going up against a Patriots defense that has shown
some cracks versus the run as of late. Cotchery also makes for a nice start as
a No. 2 receiver, but avoid Clemens and be cautious of Coles due to his ailing
ankle. Kicker Mike Nugent has been an undervalued weapon for the Jets,
however, as he's booted four field goals in three of the team's last four
games.
OVERALL ANALYSIS
The bad blood that exists between these organizations is evident, and recent
history has shown that it's not a good idea to get the Patriots mad. Just ask
Pittsburgh safety Anthony Smith, whose bold guarantee of a Steelers victory
last week helped enable a highly-charged New England squad to score a
convincing win. The Jets' best chance of keeping the margin reasonable is to
attack a Patriots defense that's been showing its age as of late by running
the football, but the success of that tactic depends on whether the erratic
Clemens can make wise decisions in the pocket and establish some balance on
offense. That's an iffy proposition, however. New England was able to move the
ball with ease on one of the league's best defenses last week, and it's
foolish to believe that the Jets' mediocre stop unit will be able to keep
Brady, Moss and the rest of the Patriots' weapons in check. The weather
forecast is predicting a mix of rain and snow in Foxborough on Sunday. Those
nasty conditions may be the only thing that keeps New England from naming its
score.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Patriots 38, Jets 13
(Sports Network)
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